Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000127 0.000140 0.000153 0.000169 0.000186 0.000205 0.000226
2025-11-09 0.000102 0.000121 0.000142 0.000168 0.000200 0.000238 0.000286
2025-11-16 0.000086 0.000107 0.000132 0.000166 0.000209 0.000263 0.000338
2025-11-23 0.000074 0.000096 0.000123 0.000161 0.000213 0.000283 0.000383
2025-11-30 0.000067 0.000090 0.000120 0.000164 0.000226 0.000312 0.000445
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000086 0.000118 0.000167 0.000239 0.000344 0.000513
2025-12-14 0.000056 0.000080 0.000113 0.000164 0.000242 0.000361 0.000560
2025-12-21 0.000051 0.000073 0.000106 0.000158 0.000240 0.000369 0.000595
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000070 0.000103 0.000158 0.000248 0.000394 0.000659
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000067 0.000102 0.000159 0.000257 0.000421 0.000729
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000063 0.000098 0.000157 0.000260 0.000437 0.000784
2026-01-18 0.000039 0.000061 0.000096 0.000158 0.000268 0.000463 0.000859
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000058 0.000093 0.000156 0.000271 0.000483 0.000926
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000055 0.000091 0.000156 0.000278 0.000509 0.001012
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000053 0.000087 0.000153 0.000280 0.000528 0.001086
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000049 0.000084 0.000149 0.000279 0.000540 0.001147
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000048 0.000083 0.000152 0.000291 0.000578 0.001272
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000154 0.000304 0.000621 0.001416
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000045 0.000080 0.000151 0.000304 0.000637 0.001497
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000042 0.000076 0.000146 0.000298 0.000638 0.001541
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000041 0.000075 0.000147 0.000306 0.000672 0.001676
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000148 0.000315 0.000708 0.001825
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000038 0.000072 0.000146 0.000316 0.000727 0.001929